Honolulu, Hawaii

1.) Temperature - Forecast the maximum & minimum temperature at Honolulu Int’l Airport (HNL) for the next day from midnight to midnight.
2.) Wind Speed - Forecast the Honolulu International Airport wind speed (KTS) at 0000 Z for the next day. E.g.
3.) Rainfall - Rainfall category for the Manoa Lyon's Arboretum. Rainfall Forecast is from 845am - 845am the following day .

A Few Useful Hawaii Links
Observations
--Current HNL Observations: http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/PHNL.html
--NWS Hydrology: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/hydrology.php
--NWS Observations: http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/pages/obs.php
--Soundings: http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding.html
--Satellite: http://weather.hawaii.edu/satellite/index.cgi?satgroup=hawcloseups&banner=uhmet
--Radar: http://weather.hawaii.edu/radar/index.cgi?banner=uhmet
--Bouy: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/Maps/Hawaii.shtml
--QuikScat:http://www.ssmi.com/qscat/qscat_browse.html
Model Output
--MOS Output: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/mdl/synop/products/stations.all.htm#Hawaii
--University of Hawaii:http://weather.hawaii.edu/models/modelgraph.cgi?banner=uhmet
--University of Hawaii MM5: http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/MET/Faculty/mm5/index.html
--University of Hawaii RSM and MSM:http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/MET/Faculty/rsm/index.html
--FNMOC:https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/PUBLIC/
--Mauna Kea:http://weather.hawaii.edu/models/modelgraph.cgi?banner=uhmet&model=mm5&domain=d4¶m=winds&orient=horiz
Verification
--HNL Climate Report (Temp):http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=hnl
--Honolulu Winds:http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/PHNL.html
--Manoa Rainfall:http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/hydro/daily_archive/HRS_archive.php

Little Rock, Arkansas

1.) Temperature - Forecast the maximum & minimum temperature at Little Rock for the next day from midnight to midnight their time.
2.) Wind Speed - Forecast the 500 mb wind speed (KTS) at 0000 Z (at Little Rock). Code for site is LZK.
3.) Rainfall - Forecast the precipitation category at Little Rock for the next day from midnight to midnight their time.

A Few Useful Seattle Links
Observations
--Current Little Rock Observations: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lzk/observations.php
--NWS Hydrology: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/lzk/hydrology.php
--Soundings: http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding.html
--Radar: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=lzk&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no
--Surface Analysis: http://www.intellicast.com/Weather/Analysis/Surface.aspx?enlarge=true
Model Output
--WRF Model: http://wrf-model.org/plots/realtime_main.php
--RAP Model: http://rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/
--University of Washington: http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/
--MOS Overview: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/tdl/synop/mos2000.htm
--NCEP Analysis: http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=lzk&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no
Verification
--Little Rock Climate Report (Temp, Rain): http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php?wfo=lzk
--Little Rock 500mb Winds: http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding.html

FORECAST ENTRY

Category    Amount (inches)
0                 0
1                 Trace
2                 0.01 – 0.10
4                 0.11 – 0.25
6                 0.26 – 0.50
8                 0.51 – 1.00
10               1.01 – 2.00
12               2.01 – 3.00
14               > 3.01

Email Format Please put "FCST" in the subject heading when sending your e-mail. You will be reporting your values in a certain order:

LastName FirstName Year Month Day HNLMax HNLMin HNLWind ManoaRainfallCat SEAMax SEAMin QUILWind(500mb) SEARainfallCat,
Your forecast will look similar to this when you e-mail it to me...

To: nps@hawaii.edu
Subject: FCST

Smith Nathaniel 2008 01 11 81 70 20 2 52 34 30 2

Note that month and day must be 2 characters long, but your forecast values may use decimal points.

Scoring
Max and Min temperatures = (forecast value - observed value)2 if the difference is <5
Max and Min temperatures = 25 + [((forecast value-observed value) - 5) x 10] if the difference is >= 5
Rainfall = (forecast category - observed category)2
Wind Speed = (forecast speed - observed speed)1.2