Research

    REFEREED PAPERS IN JOURNALS AND BOOKS

(since 1978)

 

1. V.E. Kousky and P.-S. Chu, 1978: Fluctuations in annual rainfall for northeast Brazil.J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 56, 457-465.

2. Chu, P.-S., 1983: Diagnostic studies of rainfall anomalies in Northeast Brazil Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 1655-1664.

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3. Chu, P.-S. and D. Sikdar, 1983: Characteristics of sea-level pressure and surface temperature variations during Winter MONEX: December 1978.  J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 61, 717-726. 

4. Chu, P.-S. and S.-U. Park, 1984:  Regional circulation characteristics associated with a cold surge event over East Asia during Winter MONEX.  Mon. Wea. Rev., 112, 955-965.

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5. S. Hastenrath, M.-C. Wu and P.-S. Chu, 1984:  Towards the monitoring and prediction of Northeast Brazil droughts.  Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 110, 411-425.

6. Chu, P.-S., 1984:  Time and space variability of rainfall and surface circulation in the Northeast Brazil-tropical Alantic sector. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 62, 363-370.

7. Chu, P.-S. and R.W. Katz, 1985: Modeling and forecasting the Southern Oscillation: A time-domain approach. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1876-1888.   

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8. Chu, P.-S., 1985:  A contribution to upper-air climatology of tropical South America. J. Climatol., 5, 403-416. 

9. Chu, P.-S. and R.W. Katz, 1987: Measures of predictability with application to the Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1542-1549.

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10. Chu, P.-S., 1988: Extratropical forcing and the burst of equatorial westerlies in the western Pacific: A synoptic study. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 66, 549-564. 

11. Chu, P.-S. and R.W. Katz, 1989:Spectral estimation from time series models with relevance to the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 2, 86-90.

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12. Chu, P.-S., 1989: Hawaiian drought and the Southern Oscillation.  Int.J. Climatol., 9, 619-631.

13. Chen, W., and P.-S. Chu, 1990: On the couplings between Chebyshev coefficients as derived from the monthly mean geopotential fields at 500 hPa over East Asia and the Southern Oscillation.  Adv. Atmos. Sci., 7, 347-353.

14. Chu, P.-S., and J. Frederick, 1990: Westerly wind bursts and urface heat fluxes in the equatorial western Pacific in May 1982. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 68, 523-537.

15. Chu, P.-S., 1991:  Brazil's climate anomalies and ENSO. Teleconnections linking worldwide climate anomalies:  Scientific basis and societal impact.  M.H. Glantz, R.W. Katz, and N. Nicholls, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 43-71. 

16. Chu, P.-S., J. Frederick, and A.J. Nash, 1991: Exploratory analysis of surface winds in the equatorial western Pacific and El Nino.  J. Climate, 4, 1087-1102.

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17. Chu, P.-S., 1993: Some applications of time series models to climate study    (Southern Oscillation): Modeling, forecasting and predictability.  Stochastic Hydrology and Its Use in Water Resources Systems Simulation and Optimization. J.B. Marco, R. Harboe, and J.D. Salas, Eds., Kluwer Academic Publishers, 223- 227.

18. Chu, P.-S., A.J. Nash, and F. Porter, 1993: Diagnostic studies of two contrasting rainfall episodes in Hawaii: Dry 1981 and Wet 1982. J. Climate, 6, 1457-1462.

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19. Chu, P.-S. and Y. He, 1994: Long-range prediction of Hawaiian Winter rainfall using canonical correlation analysis. Int. J. Climatol.,14,659-669.

20. Chu, P.-S., Z.-P. Yu, and S. Hastenrath, 1994: Detecting climate change concurrent with deforestation in the Amazon basin: Which way has it gone? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 75, 579-583.

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21. Chu, P.-S., R.W. Katz, and P. Ding, 1995: Modeling and forecasting seasonal precipitation in Florida: A vector time-domain approach. Int. J. Climatol., 15, 53-64. 

22. Chu, P.-S., 1995: Book review for "Monsoons over China" by Ding Yihui, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 254-255.

23. Chu, P.-S. and S. Hastenrath, 1995: Reply to comments on "Detecting climate change concurrent with deforestation in the Amazon basin: Which way has it gone?"   Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 559-560.

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24. Chu, P.-S., 1995: Hawaii rainfall anomalies and El Nino. J. Climate, 8, 1697-1703.

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25. Chu, P.-S. and J. X.Wang, 1997: Tropical cyclone occurrences in the vicinity of Hawaii: Are the differences between El Nino and non-El Nino years significant?    J. Climate, 10, 2683-2689. 

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26. Yu, Z.-P., P.-S, Chu and T.A. Schroeder, 1997: Predictive skills of seasonal to annual rainfall variations in the U.S. affiliated Pacific islands: Canonical correlation and multivariate principal component regression  approaches. J. Climate, 10, 2586-2599.

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27. Chu, P.-S. and J.-B. Wang, 1997: Recent climate change in the tropical western Pacific and Indian ocean regions as detected by outgoing longwave radiation records. J. Climate, 10, 636-646.

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28. Chu, P.-S. and J.X. Wang, 1998: Modeling return periods of tropical cyclone intensities in the vicinity of Hawaii. J. Appl. Meteor., 37, 951-960.

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29. Chu, P.-S., 1998: Short-term climate prediction of Mei-Yu rainfall for Taiwan using CCA. Int. J. Climatol.,18, 215- 224. 

30. Lee, H.-K., P.-S. Chu, C.-H. Sui and K.-M. Lau, 1998: On the annual cycle of latent heat fluxes over the equatorial  Pacific using TAO buoy observations. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan,76, 909-923.

31. Chu, P.-S., and J.D. Clark, 1999: Decadal variations of  tropical cyclone activity over the central North Pacific.Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80, 1875-1881.

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32. Clark, J.D., and P.-S. Chu, 2002: Interannual variation of tropical cyclone activity in the central North Pacific. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 80-3,403-418.

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33. Chu, P.-S., W. Yan, and F. Fujioka, 2002: Fire-climate relationships and long-lead wildfire prediction for Hawaii.  Int. J. Wildland Fire, 11, 25-31.

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34. Chu, P.-S., 2002: Large-scale circulation features associated with decadal variations of tropical cyclone activity over the central North Pacific. J. Climate, 15, 2678-2689.

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35. Zveryaev, I.I., and Chu, P.-S., 2003: Recent climate changes in precipitable water in the global tropics as revealed in NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. J.Geophys. Res., 108, D10, 4311-4322.

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36. Chu, P.-S., and X. Zhao, 2004: Bayesian change-point analysis of tropical cyclone activity: The Central North Pacific case. J. Climate, 17, 4893-4901.

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37. Chu, P.-S., 2004: ENSO and tropical cyclone activity. Hurricanes and Typhoons: Past, Present, and Potential. R. J. Murnane and K.-B. Liu, Eds., Columbia University Press, 297-332.

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38. Chu, P.-S., and H. Chen, 2005: Interannual and interdecadal rainfall variations in the Hawaiian Islands. J. Climate, 18, 4796-4813.

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39. Dolling, K., P.-S. Chu, and F. Fujioka, 2005: A climatological study of the Keetch/Byram drought index and fire activity in the Hawaiian Islands. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 133, 17-27.

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40. Xin Zhao and Pao-Shin Chu. 2006: Bayesian Multiple Changepoint Analysis of Hurricane Activity in the Eastern North Pacific: A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach. J. Climate, 19, 564-578.

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41. Chowdhury, MD. R., P.-S. Chu, and T.A. Schroeder, 2007: ENSO and seasonal sea-level variability: A diagnostic discussion for the U.S. affiliated Pacific islands.  Theo. Appl. Climatol., 88, 213-224.

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42.Chowdhury, MD. R., P.-S. Chu, T.A. Schroeder, and N. Colasacco, 2007: Seasonal sea-level forecasts by canonical correlation analysis – An operational scheme for the U.S. affiliated Pacific islands.  Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1389-1402.

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43. Chu, P.-S., and X. Zhao, 2007: A Bayesian regression approach for predicting seasonal tropical cyclone activity over the central North Pacific.  J. Climate, 20, 4002-4012.

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44. Chu, P.-S., X. Zhao, C.-T. Lee, and M.-Lu, 2007: Climate prediction of tropical cyclone activity in the vicinity of Taiwan using the multivariate least absolute deviation regression method. Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci., 18, 805-825.

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45.Wu, P., and P.-S. Chu, 2007: Characteristics of tropical cyclone activity over the eastern North Pacific: The extremely active 1992 and the inactive 1977.  Tellus A, 59, 444-454.

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46. Dolling, K., P.-S. Chu, and F. Fujioka, 2008: Natural variability of Keetch/Byram drought index in the Hawaiian Islands. Int. J. Wildland Fire, in press.

47. Chowdhury, Md. R., P.-S. Chu, X. Zhao, and T.A. Schroeder, 2008: Sea-level extremes and challenges to manage the risk of coastal hazards in the vicinity of Hawaiian Islands. Solutions to Coastal Disasters, L. Wallendorf, C. Jones, L. Ewing, and B. Jaffe, Eds., American Society of Civil Engineers, 28-37.

48. Chu, P.-S., X. Zhao, Y. Ruan, and M. Grubbs, 2008: Extreme rainfall events in the Hawaiian Islands. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., in press.

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