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Pao-Shin Chu's Home Page
Pao-Shin Chu
Professor and State Climatologist
Department of Meteorology
School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology
University of Hawaii at Manoa
Honolulu, Hawaii 96822
Email: chu@hawaii.edu
Phone: (808)956-2567
Fax: (808)956-2877
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Research Interests
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Climate Prediction and Predictability:
Chu, P.-S., R.W. Katz, and P. Ding, 1995: Modeling and forecasting seasonal precipitation in Florida: A vector time-domain approach. Int. J. Climatol., 15, 53-64.
Chu, P.-S. and Y. He, 1994: Long-range prediction of Hawaiian Winter rainfall using canonical correlation analysis. Int. J. Climatol.,14, 659-669.
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Climate Varibility and Tropical Cyclones:
Tu J.Y , Chou C , P.-S. Chu, 2009:The abrupt shift of typhoon activity in the vicinity of Taiwan and its association with western North Pacific-East Asian climate change, J. Climate, 22, 3617-3628.
Chu, P.-S. and Wu P, 2008: Climatic Atlas of Tropical Cyclone Tracks over the Central North Pacific. University of Hawaii, Department of Meteorology
Climate Variability and Hawaii rainfall (drought):
Maui_Drought_workshop_08.ppt
Chu, P.-S., and H. Chen, 2005: Interannual and interdecadal rainfall variations in the Hawaiian Islands. J. Climate, 18, 4796-4813.
Chu, P.-S., 1989: Hawaiian drought and the Southern Oscillation.Int.J. Climatol., 9, 619-631.
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Climate Variability and Wildland fire:
Dolling, K., P.-S. Chu, and F. Fujioka, 2009: Natural variability of Keetch/Byram drought index in the Hawaiian Islands. Int. J. Wildland Fire, 18, 459-475.
Dolling, K., P.-S. Chu, and F. Fujioka, 2005: A climatological study of the Keetch/Byram drought index and fire activity in the Hawaiian Islands. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 133, 17-27.
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Climate Change:
Chu, P.-S. and J.-B. Wang, 1997: Recent climate change in the tropical western Pacific and Indian ocean regions as detected by outgoing longwave radiation records. J. Climate, 10, 636-646.
Chu, P.-S., Z.-P. Yu, and S. Hastenrath, 1994: Detecting climate change concurrent with deforestation in the Amazon basin: Which way has it gone? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 75, 579-583.
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Statistical analyses of extreme events:
Norton, C.,P.-S. Chu , and T. A. Schroeder, 2011: Estimating changes in future heavy rainfall events for Oahu, Hawaii: A statistical downscaling approach.J. Geophy. Res (Atmospheres)., 116, D17110, doi: 10.1029/2011JD015641.
Zhao, X., and P.-S. Chu, 2010: Bayesian change-point analysis of extreme events (Typhoons, Heavy Rainfall, and Heat Waves) : A RJMCMC approach. J. Climate, 23, 1034-1046.
Chu, P.-S., X. Zhao, Y. Ruan, and M. Grubbs, 2009: Extreme rainfall events in the Hawaiian Islands. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 48, 502-516.
Chu, P.-S. and J.X. Wang, 1998: Modeling return periods of tropical cyclone intensities in the vicinity of Hawaii. J. Appl. Meteor., 37, 951-960.
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Sea-level variability and prediction:
Chowdhury, M..R., A.G. Barnston, C. Guard, S. Duncan, T.A. Schroeder, and P.-S. Chu, 2010: Sea-level variability and change in the US-affiliated Pacific islands: Understanding the high sea levels during 2006-2008. Weather, 65, 263-268.
Chowdhury, MR., P.-S. Chu, X. Zhao, T.A. Schroeder, and J. Marra, 2010: Sea level extremes in the U.S.-affiliated Pacific islands - A coastal hazard scenario to aid in decision analyses.J. Coast. Conserv., 14, 53-62, DOI 10.1007/s11852-010-0086-3.
Chowdhury, MR., P.-S. Chu, Thomas A. Schroeder and Xin Zhao, 2008: Variability and predictability of sea-level extremes in the Hawaiian and U.S.-Trust Islands--a knowledge base for coastal hazards management. J. Coast. Conserv., 12,93-104.
Chowdhury, MD. R., P.-S. Chu, and T.A. Schroeder, 2007: ENSO and seasonal sea-level variability: A diagnostic discussion for the U.S. affiliated Pacific islands.Theo. Appl. Climatol., 213-224.
Chowdhury, MD. R., P.-S. Chu, T.A. Schroeder, and N. Colasacco, 2007: Seasonal sea-level forecasts by canonical correlation analysis – An operational scheme for the U.S. affiliated Pacific islands.Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1389-1402.