Pao-Shin Chu's Home Page
Professor and State Climatologist
Department of Meteorology
School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology
University of Hawaii at Manoa
Honolulu, Hawaii 96822
Climate Prediction and Predictability:
Chu, P.-S., R.W. Katz, and P. Ding, 1995: Modeling and forecasting seasonal precipitation in Florida: A vector time-domain approach. Int. J. Climatol., 15, 53-64.
Chu, P.-S. and Y. He, 1994: Long-range prediction of Hawaiian Winter rainfall using canonical correlation analysis. Int. J. Climatol.,14, 659-669.
Climate Varibility and Tropical Cyclones:
Tu J.Y , Chou C , P.-S. Chu, 2009:The abrupt shift of typhoon activity in the vicinity of Taiwan and its association with western North Pacific-East Asian climate change, J. Climate, 22, 3617-3628.
Chu, P.-S. and Wu P, 2008: Climatic Atlas of Tropical Cyclone Tracks over the Central North Pacific. University of Hawaii, Department of Meteorology
Climate Variability and Hawaii rainfall (drought):
Chu, P.-S., and H. Chen, 2005: Interannual and interdecadal rainfall variations in the Hawaiian Islands. J. Climate, 18, 4796-4813.
Chu, P.-S., 1989: Hawaiian drought and the Southern Oscillation.Int.J. Climatol., 9, 619-631.
Climate Variability and Wildland fire:
Dolling, K., P.-S. Chu, and F. Fujioka, 2009: Natural variability of Keetch/Byram drought index in the Hawaiian Islands. Int. J. Wildland Fire, 18, 459-475.
Dolling, K., P.-S. Chu, and F. Fujioka, 2005: A climatological study of the Keetch/Byram drought index and fire activity in the Hawaiian Islands. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 133, 17-27.
Statistical analyses of extreme events:
Zhao, X., and P.-S. Chu, 2010: Bayesian change-point analysis of extreme events (Typhoons, Heavy Rainfall, and Heat Waves) : A RJMCMC approach. J. Climate, 23, 1034-1046.
Chu, P.-S. and J.X. Wang, 1998: Modeling return periods of tropical cyclone intensities in the vicinity of Hawaii. J. Appl. Meteor., 37, 951-960.
Sea-level variability and prediction:
Chowdhury, MR., P.-S. Chu, X. Zhao, T.A. Schroeder, and J. Marra, 2010: Sea level extremes in the U.S.-affiliated Pacific islands - A coastal hazard scenario to aid in decision analyses.J. Coast. Conserv., 14, 53-62, DOI 10.1007/s11852-010-0086-3.
Chowdhury, MR., P.-S. Chu, Thomas A. Schroeder and Xin Zhao, 2008: Variability and predictability of sea-level extremes in the Hawaiian and U.S.-Trust Islands--a knowledge base for coastal hazards management. J. Coast. Conserv., 12,93-104.
Chowdhury, MD. R., P.-S. Chu, and T.A. Schroeder, 2007: ENSO and seasonal sea-level variability: A diagnostic discussion for the U.S. affiliated Pacific islands.Theo. Appl. Climatol., 213-224.
Chowdhury, MD. R., P.-S. Chu, T.A. Schroeder, and N. Colasacco, 2007: Seasonal sea-level forecasts by canonical correlation analysis – An operational scheme for the U.S. affiliated Pacific islands.Int. J. Climatol., 27, 1389-1402.