Journal of Climate: Vol. 13, No. 12, pp. 2044–2055.
Soon-Il An and Bin
Wang
International Pacific Research
Center, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii
at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii
(Manuscript received 23 April 1999, in final form 17 August
1999)
ABSTRACT
In the late 1970s, the ENSO cycle exhibited frequency
change. The oscillation period increased from 2–4 yr (high frequency) during
1962–75 to 4–6 yr (low frequency) during 1980–93. Observations suggest that
this frequency change was accompanied by a significant change in the structure
of the coupled ENSO mode. In comparison with the high-frequency regime, the
structure of the coupled mode in the low-frequency regime shows three
distinctive features during the warm phase of ENSO: the eastward shift of the
westerly anomalies, the meridional expansion of the westerly anomalies, and the
weaker intensity of the easterly anomalies in the eastern Pacific.
To
test the robustness of the relationship between the oscillation period and the
structure of the coupled mode, the authors designed empirical atmospheric
models based on observations and coupled them with the ocean model of Zebiak
and Cane. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the ENSO period is sensitive
to changes in the wind anomaly pattern in a way much like the observed ENSO
frequency–structure relation. The increase of the ENSO period after 1980 is
mainly due to the eastward shift of the zonal wind stress with respect to the
SST anomalies. Physical explanations of the dependence of ENSO frequency on the
structure of the coupled mode are provided by diagnosing the relative
contributions of the thermocline feedback and zonal advection feedback on ENSO
evolution.