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seer Group Leader: Prof. Steven Businger

MET 416 Tropical Analysis and Forecasting


Lecture Notes (pdf format)

Lecture 1 - Introduction
Lecture 2 - Introduction to Tropical Forecasting
Lecture 3 - Introduction to Vog
Lecture 4 - Vog Modeling
Lecture 5 - Numerical Weather Prediction: Model Overview
Lecture 6 - Forecast Verification
Lecture 7 - High Trade Winds
Lecture 8 - Downslope Windstorms
Lecture 9 - Subtropical Fronts
Lecture 10 - Heavy Rain
Lecture 11 - Flash Flooding
Lecture 12 - Kona Low
Lecture 12.5 - Kona Low 2
Lecture 13 - Planetary and Synoptic Scale Review
Lecture 14 - Orographic Lift
Lecture 15 - Hurricane Force Wind Fields and Ocean Hazards
Lecture 16 - Swell and Wave Forecasting
Lecture 17 - Radar Basics
Lecture 18 - Radar Velocity
Lecture 19 - Hurricane Structure
Lecture 20 - NWS Overview
Lecture 21 - Hurricane Energetics
Lecture 22 - Hurricane Climatology
Lecture 23 - Hurricane Impact
Lecture 24 - Hurricane Observing
Lecture 25 - Hurricane Forecasting
Lecture 26 - Severe Weather in Hawaii




Plane Crash (due 1/17/17)
Vog Analysis and Prediction (due 1/26 /17)
Hazardous Wind Analysis (due 2/2/17)
Flash Flood Warning (due 3/2/17)
Kona Low (due 3/2/17)
Surf Forecast (due 3/23/17)
Hurricane Lab (due 4/27/17)

Background and Forecasting

Forecasting Results
Introduction to Weather Forecasting
Forecasting Links
More Forecasting Links
IDV Introduction
Forecast Contest Rules
Oral Weather Briefings

Photo gallery 1
Photo gallery 2

Access to updated weather and ocean data and imagery is available via the UH Meteorology weather server at

Examples of my time-lapse videos of the atmosphere and clouds

The following link has posts that describe a range of interesting weather related phenomena around the Hawaii Islands.

" You can't depend on your eyes when your imagination is out of focus. ” Mark Twain


Meteorology Home Page

SOEST Home Page

University of Hawaii Home Page

To contact us:

Department of Meteorology

School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST)

University of Hawaii at Manoa (UH)

2525 Correa Rd
Honolulu, Hawai'i 96822

Tel: (808) 956-2569
Fax:(808) 956-2877

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This page last updated October 2012 by Tom Robinson.

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