Pacific ENSO Update

2nd Quarter, 2008 Vol. 14 No. 2

SOI (SOUTHERN OSCILLATION INDEX)

The 3-month average of the Southern Oscillation Index for the 1st Quarter of 2008 was +3.1, with monthly values of +3.1, +4.4 and +1.9 for the months of January, February and March 2008, respectively. The SOI has had a positive sign since August 2007. SOI values are expected to remain positive as La Niña conditions, although weakening, are expected to continue
through the next three months.

*Note: The SOI is defined as the normalized pressure difference between Tahiti and Darwin, Australia. Normally, positive values of the SOI in excess of +1.0 are associated with La Niña conditions, and negative values of the SOI below –1.0 are associated with El Niño conditions. There are several slight variations in the SOI values calculated at or other sites representative of the western and eastern tropical Pacific, respectively. The historical record of the SOI from 1866 to present was calculated based on the method given by Ropelewski and Jones (1987). The complete table can be found at http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/soi.htm.

Ropelewski, C.F. and Jones, P.D., 1987: An extension of the Tahiti-Darwin Southern Oscillation Index. Monthly Weather Review 115, 2161-2165.