Federated States of Micronesia

Kosrae State: Rainfall was below normal during the 3rd Quarter of 2007 at all recording locations around Kosrae. The 3-month totals ranged from 37.70 inches at the Nautilus Hotel to 44.21 inches at Tofol. Normal rainfall at Kosrae for the 3-month period of July through September is approximately 51 inches.

Kosrae Rainfall Summary 3rd Quarter 2007

Climate Outlook: Because of weather patterns associated with La Niña, the risk of a damaging tropical storm or typhoon is very unlikely at Kosrae during the remainder of 2007 through the summer of 2008. The very early stages of some developing tropical cyclones may bring some episodes of heavy rain to Kosrae in the next three months, but these systems should not become tropical storms or typhoons until they are well west of Kosrae.

Based on the continuation of La Niña conditions for the next few months, rainfall at Kosrae should be near normal for the next 3 months, and then have a good chance of becoming wetter than normal in the spring (late March through early June) when the trade-wind trough becomes established in the region.

Forecast rainfall for Kosrae State from November 2007 through October 2008 is as follows:

source: UOG-WERI