Pacific ENSO Update1st Quarter, 2007 Vol. 13 No. 1 |
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Republic of Palau State Rainfall Summary 4th Quarter 2006
Climate Outlook: Dry conditions related to the El Niño should not affect the Republic of Palau too harshly, since much of the dryness at Palau often occurs in the 4 th Quarter of the El Niño year as evidenced by October and November rainfall deficits. Any island within the Republic of Palau may experience a month or two of abnormally dry weather at any time during the period February through April 2007, after which rainfall amounts should return to near normal. Residents of Palau are urged to participate in voluntary water conservation measures, and should make all reasonable repairs and routine maintenance to rain catchments and other drinking water infrastructure. At this time, the dry conditions are not expected to be anywhere near as bad as those in 1998. Palau has a complex pattern of monthly rainfall with the highest average rainfall in the months of June and July; the lowest average rainfall in the months of February, March and April; and a secondary minimum in September. The average rainfall in Palau in each of the months February through April is less than 10 inches, and then jumps to nearly 12 in May, and to over 17 inches in June. The possible effects of El Niño on the rainfall in Palau over the next several months may be to cut the totals in February through April to roughly 6 to 8 inches per month, then slightly delay the normal return of heavier rains in May. The normal June and July seasonal peak of rainfall should arrive on schedule. Predicted rainfall for Palau from February 2007 through January 2008 is as follows:
source: UOG-WERI |