Pacific ENSO Update

1st Quarter, 2006 Vol. 12 No. 1

PEAC'S TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK

The May 2005 PEAC tropical cyclone outlook for the western North Pacific basin made during early 2005 called for no above-normal activity in any category (e.g., number of typhoons and number of intense typhoons). Through all of 2005, this held true, with numbers of tropical cyclones below normal, and locations of tropical cyclones shifted to the west and north of normal. No typhoons made a direct strike in Micronesia during 2005. The preliminary PEAC Tropical Cyclone outlook for 2006 is for activity to be reduced through August, then increase to near normal levels in the final four months of the year.