Figure 4. CCA Cross-Validation Skill in JFM, FMA, and MAM

Figure 5. Average Seasonal sea level deviation: Oct-Nov-Dec

* Forecast quality is a measure of the expected CCA cross-validation skill. In general terms, these kinds of forecasts are thought to be of useful skill (or at least fair skill) if the CCA cross-validation value is greater than 0.3. Higher skills correspond to greater expected accuracy of the forecasts. Skill levels greater than 0.5 are thought to be good, while skill levels greater than 0.6 are thought to be high.