Federated States of Micronesia

Yap State:  During the 3rd Quarter of 2005, the rainfall totals at most stations in Yap State were slightly above normal, with most stations reporting 3-month totals of approximately 45 to 55 inches. On Yap Island, the wettest 3-month total was 57.50 inches recorded at Gilman, and the lowest was 43.97 inches recorded at Tamil. In the whole of Yap State, Ulithi had the lowest quarterly rainfall total of 36.06 inches and was the only station with rainfall below 100% of normal. Farther south at Woleai Atoll, the quarterly rainfall of 51.77 inches was about the same as on Yap Island, and was 128% of normal.

Climate Outlook:

The tropical cyclone threat for the remaining two months of 2005 should be near normal. During the months of November and December 2005 and into January 2006, approximately 1 or 2 tropical cyclones should pass close enough to Yap (and/or its outer islands) to cause gales. The threat of a direct strike by a typhoon at Yap Island and at Ulithi is roughly one-half to two-thirds that of Guam and the CNMI. The threat is even less further south at Woleai. While we expect no direct strikes by a typhoon on any island or atoll of Yap State in the remainder of 2005 through January 2006, residents should always be prepared for the possibility.

Predicted rainfall for Yap State from November 2005 through October 2006 is as follows: